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The US-Iran War: A Multi-Domain Assessment (Feb 28 – Mar 5, 2026)
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- 2026-03-24 12:28Day 25: IDF 3,000+ strikes milestone; CENTCOM 9,000+ targets, 140+ ships destroyed; IRGC HQ in Tehran struck; Israel hits Isfahan gas/Khorramshahr pipeline HOURS after Trump's 5-day energy pause; Iranian 100kg warhead strikes central Tel Aviv; HRANA: 3,231+ killed (~2x Health Ministry); 4,713 Israeli wounded (+1,000 in 24hrs); Vance-Ghalibaf talks proposed in Islamabad; first negotiation terms via Italian media; Bahrain UNSC Chapter VII resolution for Hormuz force; 30-nation coalition declared; German President calls war "breach of international law"; Lebanon expels Iranian ambassador; Saudi/UAE "inching toward" war entry; Brent $103.67; gold $4,418; DHS shutdown Day 39
- 2026-03-22 00:18Day 23: Nuclear tit-for-tat — Natanz struck 3rd time on Nowruz, Iran retaliates by hitting Dimona/Arad (FIRST strike on Israeli nuclear facilities); ~95-100 wounded including 10-year-old critical; IRGC reaches Wave 72 ("missile superiority" declared); IDF Chief: war at "halfway stage," strikes to "increase significantly" Sunday; Imam Ali Hospital destroyed (2nd time); Saudi expels Iranian diplomats (sharpest GCC action); 22-nation Hormuz declaration; Swiss backchannel "practically non-functional"; Iran deploys inflatable decoy missiles; US missiles from Gulf state soil (Hebrew-only); 3 executed on Nowruz Day 1; Brent $112; gold worst week since 1983; 1M+ displaced in LebanonPDF ↓
- 2026-03-21 12:10Day 22: Natanz struck AGAIN on Nowruz Day 1 (second attack on enrichment complex); ~450 kg of 60% HEU location unknown; IRGC reaches Wave 70 (7 waves in 8 hrs = acceleration); Israel promises "significant escalation" Week 4 starting Sunday; Rishon Lezion daycare hit by cluster munitions; family of 3 killed in Ramsar (Caspian coast — strike zone now covers all Iran); Iraq emerging as second front (intel HQ droned, US facilities attacked); Rubio $16.5B emergency arms sale to UAE/Kuwait/Jordan bypassing Congress; 20,000 sailors stranded; Brent $112; US gas $3.91 (+93¢ in March); S&P 500 lowest in 6 monthsPDF ↓
- 2026-03-21 03:11Day 21: Energy infrastructure war (South Pars + Kharg Island struck, Qatar 17% LNG capacity destroyed for 3-5 yrs); leadership decapitation (Larijani, Khatib, Soleimani killed within 48 hrs, ~40 officials dead); Iran fires IRBMs at Diego Garcia (2,500 mi — first strike outside theater); first F-35 combat loss; Trump signals "winding down" while deploying 2,500 more Marines + $200B supplemental; Brent $112 (+56%), gold -14% (worst since 1983); Hormuz at 4 ships/day; 3 domestic terror attacks in 7 days; Mojtaba silent 13 daysPDF ↓
- 2026-03-09 16:10Oil 'Black Monday' ($119.50 spike, biggest since 1988); G7 emergency SPR meeting; Hezbollah rockets reach central Israel WITHOUT warning; IDF deepest ground incursion south of Litani; Mojtaba consolidated but silent; Minab cover-up cracking (Bellingcat video); Russia wins jackpot ($103 Urals); Iran 1,255 dead including ~366 children; US gas $3.48 (+17%); 27% voter support
- 2026-03-09 02:057th US service member killed; Mojtaba Khamenei selected as Supreme Leader; Oil surges to $108+ (+18-19%); Macron becomes first Western mediator; Trump threatens assassination of next Iranian leader; Iran casualties reach 1,332 including 300 children; Toxic rain warning for Tehran; European defense coalition for Cyprus; Saudi ultimatum to Iran; 200+ tankers stranded at HormuzPDF ↓
- 2026-03-09 00:00⚠️ CORRECTION: Mojtaba Khamenei selected as Supreme Leader (NOT Alam al-Hoda); IRGC pledges "total obedience"; Trump threatens assassination; Oil $108.68 (+18%); Kuwait force majeure; Saudi ultimatum; 7th US KIA; Wave 28 "new generation" missiles; Chinese 055 debunked; Macron mediates; Dow -950PDF ↓
- 2026-03-08 12:00Alam al-Hoda selected as Supreme Leader; Axios: special forces for uranium; fuel rationing (30→20L); Gandhi Hospital struck; Chinese 055 destroyer at Hormuz; IRGC: 6-month war / gen 1&2 missiles; 400+ targets/24h; Mojtaba wounded; Kuwait tower ablaze; 1,200+ killed, 10,000+ injuredPDF ↓
- 2026-03-08 01:00Oil infrastructure war begins (30 installations); IRGC retaliates on Haifa refinery; Trump: ground troops "possibly," map "won't remain"; Baghdad Green Zone embassy struck (C-RAM failed); Russia confirmed providing targeting data; Navy Sea of Oman 11→0; Brent ~$94; Qatar warns $150PDF ↓
- 2026-03-07 13:00Pezeshkian apologizes to Gulf — military contradicts; Hejazi killed (Khamenei's office); Dubai airport shut; 43 ships destroyed (CENTCOM); 65% launchers destroyed; Brent $92.69 (+35% weekly record); 500 tankers stranded; Arab League Sunday; Russia sanctions liftedPDF ↓
- 2026-03-07 01:00Trump demands "UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER" = military destruction; Russia sharing intel with Iran; 3,000+ targets / 25 warships struck; WTI $92; 4-6 week timeline; Kurdish coordination confirmed; $3.7B costPDF ↓
- 2026-03-06 13:00US Army acknowledges Minab school (175 children); Khamenei bunker destroyed; B-2 bunker-busters on underground sites; Iran dead 1,332; Pezeshkian mediation signal; India-Russia oil waiver; Phase 2 beginsPDF ↓
- 2026-03-06 01:00Trump demands role in choosing Iran's next leader; IDF "next phase" — 2,500 strikes; Dahiya bombardment (123 dead); House war powers defeated; 30+ ships sunk; BAPCO refinery hit; UK basing confirmed; Hormuz selectivePDF ↓
- 2026-03-05 13:00IRGC claims US tanker hit in Gulf; drones strike Azerbaijan; EU warns of Iran civil war; Azadi Stadium destroyed; European naval coalition forms; Maersk suspends Gulf bookings; death toll 1,230PDF ↓
- 2026-03-05 01:00US sub sinks IRIS Dena (first torpedo kill since WWII); Iraq total blackout; Senate war powers fails 47-53; P&I insurance cancelled; Hormuz 2 transits/day; IRGC hypersonic claims; KOSPI -12%PDF ↓
- 2026-03-04 13:00Warship IRIS Dena sunk off Sri Lanka; NATO intercepts missile toward Turkey; F-35 first air-to-air kill; MOIS contacts CIA; death toll 1,045+; CIA arms Kurds; Saudi refinery struckPDF ↓
- 2026-03-04 01:00Secret nuclear facility destroyed; Assembly of Experts attacked during vote; 10+ tankers burning in Hormuz; France deploys carrier; Trump threatens Spain; 3 embassies closedPDF ↓
- 2026-03-03 13:00E3 enters war; Macron nuclear speech from submarine; Iran <2,000 missiles; Larijani back-channel; Bahrain destabilizing; AWS data centers hit; supertanker rates all-time highPDF ↓
- 2026-03-03 10:00CENTCOM destroys IRGC C2; IDF simultaneous Tehran+Beirut strikes; Bahrain Sitra clashes; IAEA confirms Natanz damage; Brent $82PDF ↓
- 2026-03-03 06:00E3 ready to "destroy" Iran capabilities; Macron nuclear speech; Iran <2,000 missiles; Larijani back-channel via Oman; IRGC threatens CyprusPDF ↓
- 2026-03-03 02:00US Embassy Riyadh struck by drones; Phase 2 imminent; 1,500+ IRGC killed; Arab states consider joining; 25% polling supportPDF ↓
- 2026-03-02 18:00US KIA rises to 6; IRGC declares Hormuz closed; 1,250+ targets; 49 leaders killed; Rubio admits preemptive strikePDF ↓
- 2026-03-02 13:00Qatar shoots down Iranian jets; Lebanon bans Hezbollah military; Trump lays out war objectivesPDF ↓
- 2026-03-02 10:00Qatar LNG halted; 4th US KIA; F-15 friendly fire resolved; Austin shooting; Hegseth: "not regime change"PDF ↓
- 2026-03-02 05:00F-15s crash in Kuwait; Ras Tanura refinery shut; Red Crescent 555 dead; IDF offensive on HezbollahPDF ↓
- 2026-03-02 01:00 Larijani Denies Talks, Trump Admits Succession Candidates Killed, Lebanon Front Explodes, 3 Hospitals Struck PDF ↓
- 2026-03-01 21:00 Hezbollah Enters War, RAF Akrotiri Hit, Ahmadinejad Confirmed Dead, Pentagon Undercuts White House PDF ↓
- 2026-03-01 17:00 Iran Situation Report — UK Enters Conflict, 1000+ Targets, 27% Approval PDF ↓
- 2026-03-01 17:00 SUPPLEMENT: US Market Intelligence — Monday March 2 Open
- 2026-03-01 17:00 SUPPLEMENT: International Market Intelligence — Monday March 2 Open