Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters around 115-130 million votes, with 125-130m (21.5%) edging 115-120m (18%), reflecting expectations above 2022's 111 million total amid sustained voter polarization and competitive generic ballot polling. Recent YouGov (April 3-6) shows Democrats ahead 44-42% among registered voters, while aggregates like ArgumentMag indicate a 5.8-point Democratic lead expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signaling higher Democratic enthusiasm (74% vs. 61% Republicans per NBC). North Carolina's March 3 primaries saw record Democratic turnout (800,000 vs. 626,000 Republicans), boosting high-end bins. Tight dynamics stem from historical midterm variability (40-50% of voting-eligible population), early-stage uncertainties in mobilization, presidential approval, and economic trends; separations could emerge from primary results, generic ballot shifts, or battleground state turnout signals ahead of November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया125-130m 21%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 16%
120-125m 14%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
8%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
23%
130m+
7%
125-130m 21%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 16%
120-125m 14%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<85m
$319 वॉल्यूम
5%
85-90m
$419 वॉल्यूम
8%
90-95m
$831 वॉल्यूम
1%
95-100m
$269 वॉल्यूम
3%
100-105m
$631 वॉल्यूम
6%
105-110m
$431 वॉल्यूम
13%
110-115m
$339 वॉल्यूम
16%
115-120m
$1,020 वॉल्यूम
18%
120-125m
$371 वॉल्यूम
14%
125-130m
$1,157 वॉल्यूम
23%
130m+
$245 वॉल्यूम
7%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters around 115-130 million votes, with 125-130m (21.5%) edging 115-120m (18%), reflecting expectations above 2022's 111 million total amid sustained voter polarization and competitive generic ballot polling. Recent YouGov (April 3-6) shows Democrats ahead 44-42% among registered voters, while aggregates like ArgumentMag indicate a 5.8-point Democratic lead expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signaling higher Democratic enthusiasm (74% vs. 61% Republicans per NBC). North Carolina's March 3 primaries saw record Democratic turnout (800,000 vs. 626,000 Republicans), boosting high-end bins. Tight dynamics stem from historical midterm variability (40-50% of voting-eligible population), early-stage uncertainties in mobilization, presidential approval, and economic trends; separations could emerge from primary results, generic ballot shifts, or battleground state turnout signals ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,031समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters around 115-130 million votes, with 125-130m (21.5%) edging 115-120m (18%), reflecting expectations above 2022's 111 million total amid sustained voter polarization and competitive generic ballot polling. Recent YouGov (April 3-6) shows Democrats ahead 44-42% among registered voters, while aggregates like ArgumentMag indicate a 5.8-point Democratic lead expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signaling higher Democratic enthusiasm (74% vs. 61% Republicans per NBC). North Carolina's March 3 primaries saw record Democratic turnout (800,000 vs. 626,000 Republicans), boosting high-end bins. Tight dynamics stem from historical midterm variability (40-50% of voting-eligible population), early-stage uncertainties in mobilization, presidential approval, and economic trends; separations could emerge from primary results, generic ballot shifts, or battleground state turnout signals ahead of November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$6,031समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters around 115-130 million votes, with 125-130m (21.5%) edging 115-120m (18%), reflecting expectations above 2022's 111 million total amid sustained voter polarization and competitive generic ballot polling. Recent YouGov (April 3-6) shows Democrats ahead 44-42% among registered voters, while aggregates like ArgumentMag indicate a 5.8-point Democratic lead expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signaling higher Democratic enthusiasm (74% vs. 61% Republicans per NBC). North Carolina's March 3 primaries saw record Democratic turnout (800,000 vs. 626,000 Republicans), boosting high-end bins. Tight dynamics stem from historical midterm variability (40-50% of voting-eligible population), early-stage uncertainties in mobilization, presidential approval, and economic trends; separations could emerge from primary results, generic ballot shifts, or battleground state turnout signals ahead of November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न