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4월에 시애틀에 강수량이 있나요?

Market icon

4월에 시애틀에 강수량이 있나요?

4월 30

4월 30

2.5~3인치 35%

2.5인치 미만 29%

3-3.5" 19%

3.5-4인치 15.6%

Polymarket

$46,638 거래량

2.5~3인치 35%

2.5인치 미만 29%

3-3.5" 19%

3.5-4인치 15.6%

Polymarket

$46,638 거래량

2.5인치 미만

$13,165 거래량

29%

2.5~3인치

$8,873 거래량

35%

3-3.5"

$19,210 거래량

19%

3.5-4인치

$1,485 거래량

16%

4~4.5인치

$1,377 거래량

3%

4.5-5"

$1,336 거래량

4%

>5"

$1,192 거래량

4%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Seattle-Tacoma Airport observations show approximately 2.22 inches of precipitation through April 16, 2026, boosted by heavy rains around mid-month that exceeded early normals, positioning the month near the climatological average of about 3 inches. Trader consensus reflects this with 35% implied probability for 2.5-3 inches versus 28.5% for under 2.5 inches, driven by NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook favoring below-normal totals statewide due to persistent ridging over the West suppressing Pacific storm tracks. Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a dry pattern through late April amid neutral ENSO conditions, though model ensembles show low-confidence chances for late-month showers that could tip totals higher; watch daily updates from Seattle NWS for shifts in ensemble guidance.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$46,638
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Seattle-Tacoma Airport observations show approximately 2.22 inches of precipitation through April 16, 2026, boosted by heavy rains around mid-month that exceeded early normals, positioning the month near the climatological average of about 3 inches. Trader consensus reflects this with 35% implied probability for 2.5-3 inches versus 28.5% for under 2.5 inches, driven by NOAA Climate Prediction Center's outlook favoring below-normal totals statewide due to persistent ridging over the West suppressing Pacific storm tracks. Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a dry pattern through late April amid neutral ENSO conditions, though model ensembles show low-confidence chances for late-month showers that could tip totals higher; watch daily updates from Seattle NWS for shifts in ensemble guidance.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$46,638
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"4월에 시애틀에 강수량이 있나요?"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 35%의 "2.5~3인치"이며, 이어서 28%의 "2.5인치 미만"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 35¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 35%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "4월에 시애틀에 강수량이 있나요?"은 총 $46.6K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 24, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"4월에 시애틀에 강수량이 있나요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"4월에 시애틀에 강수량이 있나요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 35%의 "2.5~3인치"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 35%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 28%의 "2.5인치 미만"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"4월에 시애틀에 강수량이 있나요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.