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Grok previsões e probabilidades

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Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

20%

$5.3K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

13%

June 30, 2026

$136K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

29

Ends em 2 meses

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

54%

30%+

$19.3K Vol.

$944 Liq.

2

Ends em 2 meses

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

65%

Anthropic

$3M Vol.

$88.9K today

$448K Liq.

61

Ends em 2 meses

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

59%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$66.2K today

$174K Liq.

19

Ends em 2 meses

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

28%

OpenAI

$1M Vol.

$62.1K Liq.

23

Ends em 2 meses

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

46%

Anthropic

$346K Vol.

$98.8K Liq.

51

Ends em 2 meses

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

6%

$3.8K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

82%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$22.1K Vol.

$58.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

82%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$30.2K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

Montana Grizzlies vs. Tarleton State Texans (W)

Montana Grizzlies vs. Tarleton State Texans (W)

Montana Grizzlies

$200 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

Tallahassee: Hynek Barton vs Michael Mmoh

Tallahassee: Hynek Barton vs Michael Mmoh

53%

Hynek Barton

$657 Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of April 13 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of April 13 2026?

61%

↑ $340

$6.2K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

95%

960

$492 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

27%

June 30

$264K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

9

Ends em 14 dias

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

REKONIX

$279K Vol.

$6 Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

93%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$5M Vol.

$180K today

$451K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

What will Google (GOOGL) hit in April 2026?

45%

↑ $355

$52.3K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

78%

<3

$10.2K Vol.

$706 Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Despedidos (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Despedidos (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs

100%

Isurus

$7.9K Vol.

$201 Liq.

Ends há 11 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Grok.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Grok that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? ”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Despedidos (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to Orbán - Hungary PM. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Grok predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.