Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of the House—at 84.5% amid persistent leads in generic congressional ballot polls averaging Democrats +5 to +7 points, per recent CNN, Fox News, and Emerson surveys mirroring 2018 levels that delivered a Democratic House majority. Special elections in late March saw Democrats flip Florida seats, including a 38-point overperformance in a Trump +13 district encompassing his Palm Beach home, and strong Louisiana results, signaling turnout and enthusiasm edges in red areas. President Trump's approval rating has slumped to the high 30s-low 40s, pressured by surging gas prices, inflation, and backlash to the escalating Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party as primaries unfold toward November 3.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$34,201 Hac.
$34,201 Hac.
30 Kas 2026
Evet
$34,201 Hac.
$34,201 Hac.
30 Kas 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of the House—at 84.5% amid persistent leads in generic congressional ballot polls averaging Democrats +5 to +7 points, per recent CNN, Fox News, and Emerson surveys mirroring 2018 levels that delivered a Democratic House majority. Special elections in late March saw Democrats flip Florida seats, including a 38-point overperformance in a Trump +13 district encompassing his Palm Beach home, and strong Louisiana results, signaling turnout and enthusiasm edges in red areas. President Trump's approval rating has slumped to the high 30s-low 40s, pressured by surging gas prices, inflation, and backlash to the escalating Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party as primaries unfold toward November 3.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Hacim
$34,201Bitiş Tarihi
30 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of the House—at 84.5% amid persistent leads in generic congressional ballot polls averaging Democrats +5 to +7 points, per recent CNN, Fox News, and Emerson surveys mirroring 2018 levels that delivered a Democratic House majority. Special elections in late March saw Democrats flip Florida seats, including a 38-point overperformance in a Trump +13 district encompassing his Palm Beach home, and strong Louisiana results, signaling turnout and enthusiasm edges in red areas. President Trump's approval rating has slumped to the high 30s-low 40s, pressured by surging gas prices, inflation, and backlash to the escalating Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party as primaries unfold toward November 3.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Hacim
$34,201Bitiş Tarihi
30 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of the House—at 84.5% amid persistent leads in generic congressional ballot polls averaging Democrats +5 to +7 points, per recent CNN, Fox News, and Emerson surveys mirroring 2018 levels that delivered a Democratic House majority. Special elections in late March saw Democrats flip Florida seats, including a 38-point overperformance in a Trump +13 district encompassing his Palm Beach home, and strong Louisiana results, signaling turnout and enthusiasm edges in red areas. President Trump's approval rating has slumped to the high 30s-low 40s, pressured by surging gas prices, inflation, and backlash to the escalating Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury, amplifying historical midterm penalties for the incumbent party as primaries unfold toward November 3.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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