March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike, with gasoline jumping 21.2% amid Iran war-related oil supply disruptions, while core CPI eased slightly to 2.6% amid persistent 3.0% shelter inflation. The Federal Reserve's March Summary of Economic Projections elevated median PCE inflation for year-end 2026 to 2.7% from 2.4%, reflecting upside risks flagged by 17 participants and heightened uncertainty versus historical norms. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by over $600,000 in volume, prices elevated peak CPI risks for 2026, with focus shifting to April CPI data due May 12 and March PCE release April 30 amid volatile commodity dynamics and potential policy responses.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$637,769 Hac.
%3,5'in Üzerinde
86%
%4'ün Üzerinde
51%
%5'in Üzerinde
21%
%6'nın Üzerinde
14%
%8'in üzerinde
8%
%10'un Üzerinde
5%
$637,769 Hac.
%3,5'in Üzerinde
86%
%4'ün Üzerinde
51%
%5'in Üzerinde
21%
%6'nın Üzerinde
14%
%8'in üzerinde
8%
%10'un Üzerinde
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike, with gasoline jumping 21.2% amid Iran war-related oil supply disruptions, while core CPI eased slightly to 2.6% amid persistent 3.0% shelter inflation. The Federal Reserve's March Summary of Economic Projections elevated median PCE inflation for year-end 2026 to 2.7% from 2.4%, reflecting upside risks flagged by 17 participants and heightened uncertainty versus historical norms. Polymarket trader consensus, backed by over $600,000 in volume, prices elevated peak CPI risks for 2026, with focus shifting to April CPI data due May 12 and March PCE release April 30 amid volatile commodity dynamics and potential policy responses.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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