Skip to main content

预测与赔率

·
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

65%

2–3

$61.7K 交易量

$60.7K Liq.

Ends 13 天内

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

19%

April 30

$173K 交易量

$10.4K Liq.

3

Ends 13 天内

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

17%

April 30

$4M 交易量

$28.7K Liq.

165

Ends 17 天前

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

3%

$135K 交易量

$29.3K Liq.

6

Ends 2 个月内

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

<1%

$57.2K 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

4

Ends 17 天前

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

26%

April 30

$179K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 13 天内

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

45%

$86.9K 交易量

$31.3K Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

$2M 交易量

$134K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

17%

$244K 交易量

$59.5K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

17%

$166K 交易量

$24.7K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

5%

$487K 交易量

$16.5K Liq.

10

Ends 2 个月内

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

70%

$351 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends 13 天内

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

14%

$595K 交易量

$119K Liq.

32

Ends 9 个月内

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

10%

$72.2K 交易量

$36.3K Liq.

8

Ends 9 个月内

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

6%

$32.2K 交易量

$32.3K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

9%

$11.3K 交易量

$25.4K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

14%

$50.2K 交易量

$15.7K Liq.

4

Ends 2 个月内

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

74%

20+

$433K 交易量

$70.7K Liq.

Ends 13 天内

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

31%

40-49

$40.1K 交易量

$73.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

32%

$61.4K 交易量

$20.9K Liq.

2

Ends 13 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 船 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 134 个活跃的 船 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $8.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"China x Japan military clash before 2027?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?",市场目前认为 April 30 的概率为 17%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 船 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。