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Sales Figures and S-Index Analysis

This document contains sales data for 5 years broken down by quarter. It includes the original sales figures, a 4 period moving average to smooth the data, and calculations of the slope, intercept, baseline, seasonal indices and forecasts. Trend and seasonal factors are extracted from the data and used to deseasonalize the sales and generate 1 period ahead forecasts.

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MK
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80 views4 pages

Sales Figures and S-Index Analysis

This document contains sales data for 5 years broken down by quarter. It includes the original sales figures, a 4 period moving average to smooth the data, and calculations of the slope, intercept, baseline, seasonal indices and forecasts. Trend and seasonal factors are extracted from the data and used to deseasonalize the sales and generate 1 period ahead forecasts.

Uploaded by

MK
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

t

Year
1 Year
2
3
4
5 Year
6
7
8
9 Year
10
11
12
13 Year
14
15
16
17 Year
18
19
20

Qtr

Sales(Y)
0
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

1
2
3
4

MA(4)

155
235
200
230
160
250
230
320
180
240
235
360
210
280
320
435

Slope
Intercept

Baseline
CMA

StIt

St

Y/CMA

S-Index

Yt/ St
Deseasonalised

T
Trend

TSt
Forecast

jan
feb
mar
apr
may
jun
jul
aug
sep
oct
nov
dec
jan
feb
mar
apr

273 Err:512
325
325
364
344.5
338
341.25
313 327.125
370 348.5625
413 380.7813
356 368.3906
372 370.1953
423 396.5977
461 428.7988
414 421.3994
385 403.1997
458 430.5999
531 480.7999
458

600
500
400
300

364
325

338

3
313

273

200
100

0
jan feb mar apr may jun

531
423

413
364
325

338

370

356 372

461

458
414

458

385

313

273

an feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb mar apr

Column B
Column C

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