Research Methodology in Auto Industry
Research Methodology in Auto Industry
CHAPTER 1
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Chapter Index
1.1 Introduction
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CHAPTER 1
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1.1 Introduction
The Greek “autos” (self) has been used to create the word automotive and the
Latin word motives (of motion) to represent any form of self-powered vehicle was
added to it. Automobiles sector, one of the most important economic sectors by
revenue, began in the 1890s with hundreds of manufacturers that pioneered the
horseless carriage. Around the world, there were about 806 million cars and light
trucks on the road in 2007. Global production of vehicles (cars and commercial
vehicles) rose to 89,747,430 in 2014 from 54,434,000 in 1997. Amongst global
manufacturers, Tata Motors Ltd. of India stood at 19th position with a production of
1,062,654 units in the year 2013.
In 1897, the first car ran on the Indian road. An embryonic automotive
industry emerged in India in the 1940s with launching of Hindustan Motors in 1942
and Premier in 1944. However, growth was relatively slow in the 1950s and 1960s
due to nationalisation and licensing restrictions. The automotive industry in India is
one of the largest in the world with an annual production of 23.37 million vehicles in
FY 2014-15. Also in FY 2014-15, automobile exports of India grew by 15 percent
over the last year.
In the last few decades, the Automotive Industry of India has been recording
tremendous growth and has emerged as a major contributor to India’s GDP. This
dynamic Industry currently accounts for almost 7 percent of India’s GDP and
employing about almost 19 million people. Also contribution of Indian Automotive
Industry to Global Auto Industry Development is increasing significantly. In India,
since the de-licensing of the sector in 1991 and the subsequent opening up of 100
percent FDI through automatic route, Indian Automobile Sector has come a long way.
Today almost every global auto major has set up facilities in the country.
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Talking about the numbers, the production of passenger vehicles in India was
recorded at 3.23 million in 2012-13 and is expected to grow at a compound annual
growth rate (CAGR) of 13 per cent during 2012-2021, as per data published by
Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA).
Passenger car sales stood at 1.89 million units in 2012-13. Additionally, share
of luxury cars to the total passenger car market of India is expected to increase to four
per cent by 2020. The total number of passenger cars in India is likely to touch around
8 million units by 2020, as per Mr. Boris Fitz, Director, Sales and Network
Development, Mercedes-Benz India.
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The industry produced 1.74 million vehicles in May 2013. The export of
passenger vehicles and three- wheelers grew by 7.34 percent and 26.53 percent
respectively during the April-May 2013, as per data released by Society of Indian
Automobile Manufacturers’ (SIAM).
Furthermore, the amount of cumulative FDI inflow into the Indian automobile
industry during April 2000 to April 2013 was worth US$ 8.32 million, amounting to 4
per cent of the total FDI inflows (in terms of US$), as per data published by
Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), Ministry of Commerce.
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profitability.
Beaver in his research paper reported that cash flow from operations, proxied by
net income plus depreciation, depletion and amortisation, to total debt had the lowest
misclassification error relative to common accrual measures of financial health.
However, his univariate approach to analysing financial distress was seldom followed
because while one ratio would indicate failure another could indicate non-failure.
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Here the researcher reported that the comparison of good and poor risk units as per
the current ratio and as per the discriminate score showed that the misclassification of
units was noticed in all the years.
Helen Kwok and Tuen Mun (2002) undertook the study “The effects of cash
flow statement on Lenders‟ decisions” . The researchers mentioned that bank officers
use cash flow statement as an important document while taking decisions about
lending loans. The reason being it provides very crucial information about cash inflow
and cash outflow. Auditors, accounting academies, financial analysts and bank loan
officers were taken up as samples. Each of them were given annual reports of two
loan applicant companies and were asked to make independent lending decisions on
whatever data was provided. This data included the cash flow statement of one
company was given in the direct format and the other was presented in the indirect
format. The latter format was used as an addition to the fund flow statement. The
result that was presented clearly indicated that a majority of the subject obtained
information from the Balance sheet. However, it was also found that the cash flow
statement was the second most used financial information base. Even notes to the
financial statements were taken into account almost ignoring the cash flow statements.
No subject was found to be using fund flow statements as the base of their financial
reports.
International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) no. 107 is relating to the cash
flow statements. It provides the guideline that cash flow statement is an integral part
of the firm’s financial statements. It also provides that “Information about cash flow is
very useful in predicting the enterprise’s ability to generate cash and cash equivalents.
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In this study, an attempt is made to find out the predictive ability of the operating cash
flow and data based on accrual accounting to predict future cash flow from operating
activities. For this study, Multivariate Regression Models and Panel data were used.
In this study, 173 companies were taken as sample from the companies which were
listed on the Bursa Malaysia. In this study, to predict future cash flows from operating
cash flow during the period 1997-2005, following three predictor variables have been
used: (i) Net income before extraordinary items (NI) (ii) Net income before
extraordinary items + Depreciation and Amortization (NDA) (iii) Cash flow from
Operating Activities (CFO).
Jill Andresky Fraser’s classic articles on the topic “THE ART OF CASH
MANAGEMENT” included finance business – cash management and learning how to
handle a cash crisis. Assembled here are practical pieces of advice, tips and tricks
from CEOs, and tools that you can use to get handle on business cash.
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Capital Management in Vazir Sultan Tobacco & Company Ltd.”. The objective of the
study was to understand the trends in current assets investing and financing policy of
working capital management with the help of selected accounting ratios in the sample
company. The period of study was from 1989 to 1996. The methodology of the study
was based on interpretation of the annual reports of the company. There was not
proportionate increase in current assets investment in relation to sale resulting into
rapid decline in working capital turnover ratio. There was no consistent policy of
working capital management. It was found that during the last two years of the study
period, the quick ratio was much higher than generally accepted norms and that was
due to the sudden decline of inventory and rapid increase in current assets. Credit
policy was highly volatile with increasing risk of bad debts. These were some of the
main findings of the study. They also suggested that the company needed to improve
its management of cash and credit policy in order to have adequate profitability.
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Popat. Pravin H. (2011) A study on Working Capital Management and its Impact
on Profitability of Selected Fertilizer Units of Gujarat State. This study revealed the
trend of working capital in Gujarat State Fertilizer Company and Gujarat Narmada
Valley Fertilizer Company during the study period, to measure the efficiency of
working capital management.
Rakesh Kumar Manjhi carried out a study on “An In-depth Study of Working
Capital Policy and Management of Selected Textile Manufacturing Companies in
Gujarat”. The period of the study undertaken was 1999-00 to 2010-11. The study
proposed to examine the policy prevailing in the management of working capital in
Textile Companies of Gujarat and to examine management performance in this regard
and also to look at possible remedial measures on the basis of which funds tied up in
working capital could be used efficiently and effectively. Here, in context to cash
component, the researcher has used Total Cash to Total Sales Ratio, Cash Turnover
Ratio, Cash Conversion Cycle, Net Cash Flow Analysis, and Net Cash Flow to
Current Liabilities ratio for analysing the cash management performance. On
establishing a relationship between the volume of sales and the size of cash balance,
the researcher found that there was a positive relationship between the size of cash
balance and the volume of sales.
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Ross Kirkham conducted a survey on “Liquidity Analysis Using Cash Flow Ratios
and Traditional Ratios: The Telecommunications Sector in Australia”. The objective of
this study was to undertake the liquidity analysis of the companies. This was done by
using the traditional ratios as well as the latest cash flow ratios. In the study, a comparison
was made between the traditional ratios and cash flow ratios. For this, a period of five
years and a sample of 25 companies were taken from the telecommunication sector in
Australia. The data was taken from the database of financial analysis. The Current ratio,
Quick ratio, Interest coverage ratio, Cash flow ratio, Critical needs cash coverage ratio,
Cash interest coverage ratio were examined. The results of the study explained the
differences between the traditional ratios and cash flow ratios for liquidity analysis. The
researcher here proved that if the decision about the liquidity was taken only on the basis
of traditional ratios, the results could have been misleading. In some cases, it might
happen that even if company is facing problems of cash flow, it seems to be liquid. In the
same way, it might also happen that even if company is having enough cash flow, it may
not seem to be liquid.
Sudarshana Reddy G., Sivarami Reddy C. and Mohan Reddy P., in “A case
Study of Andhra Pradesh Paper Industry”, evaluated the performance of the debtor’s
management of the paper industry in Andhra Pradesh. For complying this, the analysis
of trends in sales and debtors, debtor’s size, turnover, collection period and aging of
receivables had been carried out. The foregoing analysis reveals that the sample mills
adopted liberal credit policy, which had a favorable effect on sales. This definitely has
a direct effect on the overall profitability performance. But though they suggested
reducing the collection period, the collection and follow up efforts of trade debtors
should be rationalized and slackness should altogether be removed.
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Yucel, T, and kart, p. (2010) examined the relationship of cash conversion cycle
(CCI) with profitability, Liquidity cycle debt structure for a sample of 167 firms
during the period 1995 to 2000.
After the review of existing literature on the topic and about the industry, research has
developed the following objectives:
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4. To evaluate the cash flow from operating activity, financing activity and
investing activity of selected samples of Indian Automobile Industry.
For the present study the researcher has formulated two hypotheses, null
hypotheses and alternate hypotheses. Hypotheses are tested with One-way ANOVA.
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10. H0: There would be no significant difference in Cash Flow per Share of
selected samples of Indian Automobile Industry.
H1: There would be significant difference in Cash Flow per Share of selected
samples of Indian Automobile Industry.
14. H0: There would be no significant difference in Cash Flow from Operating
Activities of selected samples of Indian Automobile Industry.
15. H0: There would be no significant difference in Cash Flow from Investing
Activities of selected samples of Indian Automobile Industry.
16. H0: There would be no significant difference in Cash Flow from Financing
Activities of selected samples of Indian Automobile Industry.
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17. H0: There would be no significant difference in Net Cash Flow of selected
samples of Indian Automobile Industry.
18. H0: There would be positive relationship between availability of cash and
profitability performance amongst selected samples of Indian Automobile
Industry.
This study is based on secondary data. The data is collected from published
annual reports of Automobile Companies. Other information related to Companies is
collected from official websites and internet sources, reference books, journals, media
reports, press releases etc.
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The universe of the study is taken as all the companies registered in India
under corporate sector. Population of the study is taken as all the companies registered
under Automobile segment of Bombay Stock Exchange. Top ten companies of
universe are selected for the study based on their turnover of 2012-13. Escorts Ltd.
and Eicher Ltd., though being in top ten are not selected as they are having a different
financial period than the other companies of the universe.
There are total 5 industries segmented in the BSE related to Automobile Industry in
India
a) 2/3 Wheelers
b) Auto Parts and Equipments
c) Auto Tyres and Rubber Products
d) Cars & Utility Vehicles
e) Commercial Vehicles
Out of the above, three segments are related to vehicles and the two segments are
related to auto components. Here, 2/3 wheelers; Cars & Utility Vehicles; and
commercial vehicles segments are chosen representing the automobile (vehicles)
industry o f India.
There are in total 13 company registered under 2/3 wheelers segment of the
Bombay Stock Exchange.
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There are in total 4 companies registered under Cars and Utility Vehicles
segment of the Bombay Stock Exchange.
Table 1.6 Cars & Utility Vehicles
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c) Commercial Vehicles
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a) Ratio analysis:
For the analysis of financial statement many tools are used like common size
statement analysis, comparative analysis, trend analysis, and ratio analysis. The ratio
analysis is most acceptable tools for the analysis of financial statements. Present study
also used various ratios for financial analysis like profitability ratios, liquidity ratios
and assets management ratios.
b) Mean:
The mean is used in order to set the bench mark and analyse the performance
of the industry during the research period. The mean is used for comparison between
performances of all the units during the study period.
c) Comparative Analysis:
A comparative analysis is done between the cash size of the firms; cash flow
statements; and cash conversion cycle of all the companies.
Professor R. A. fisher man to use that term variance and in fact it was he who
developed a very elaborate theory concerning ANOVA explaining its usefulness in
practical field. Later on Professor Snedecor and many other contributed to the
development of this technique. ANOVA is essentially a procedure for testing the
difference among different groups of data for homogeneity. “The essence of ANOVA
is that total amount of variation in a set of data is broken down into two types, that
amount which can be attributed to chance and that amount which can be attributed to
specified causes.” There may be variation between samples and also within sample
items. ANOVA consists in splitting the variance for analytical purposes. Hence, it is a
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method of analyzing the variance to which a response is subject into its various
components corresponding to various source of variation. Thus in general through
ANOVA technique one can, investigate any number f factors which hypothesize or
said to influence the dependent variable. One may as well investigate the differences
amongst various categories within each of these factors which may have a large
number of possible values. If we take only one factor and investigate the differences
amongst its various categories having numerous possible values, we are said to use
one-way ANOVA and in case we investigate two factors at the same time, then we
use two-way ANOVA. In two ways ANOVA, the interaction of inter-relationship of
two factors affecting the value of a variable can as well be studied for better decision.
For the probabilities associated with the contrast test to be properly used in
report of our findings, it is important that contrast strategy be devised ahead of the
testing. Comparisons after the results are compared require the post hoc tests. Hence,
multiple comparisons by applying post hoc using Tukey’s HSD is to be carried out in
order to find out exactly which pair of means differ.
d) Standard Deviation:
In the present 0study Standard deviation has been used as one of the statistical
techniques for deciding how the variables are far from the mean.
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Cash is the most liquid asset in any firm’s balance sheet and so is its vital
importance in the daily business operations. Cash is the basic input required to start as
well as run the business despite of size of the business. And also it is the ultimate
output expected by selling the product or providing services. There are basically three
primary motives of holding cash: (1) to meet the needs of day-to-day transactions; (b)
to protect the firm against uncertainties characterising some of its cash flows; and (c)
to take advantage of unexpected inc=vestment opportunities. While, cash serves these
functions, it is an idle resource with an opportunity cost. The liquidity provided by
holding cash is at the expenses of profits that could accrue from alternative
investment opportunities. Hence, it is very crucial for firm to plan and control cash
carefully. 1
The term cash with reference to cash management is used in two senses. In a
narrow sense, it is used broadly to cover cash (currency) and generally accepted
equivalent of cash, such as cheques, bank drafts and demand deposits on banks. The
broader view of cash also includes near cash assets such as marketable securities and
time deposits in banks. The main characteristics of these assets are that they can be
readily sold and converted into cash. They also provide a short term investment outlet
for excess cash and are also useful to meet a planned outflow of funds. 2 Cash
management thus is concerned with the managing of:
1
Chandra, P., Finance Sense – Finance for non-finance executives
2
Shah, P. P., Financial Management
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In short, it can be derived that cash flow has a strong impact on the turnover,
liquidity, share-holder’s value creation and profitability of the firm. Hence, it is
equally important to evaluate the cash management performance the firms. Above all
mentioned facets of the cash management are generally of primary nature. Now in
order to evaluate the performance of the companies, researcher has opted for the
secondary database i.e. financial statements obtained from the annual reports of the
selected sample companies.
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Sulman, Sharma and Iselin, Stanko and Zeller and Mills and Yamamura.
Cash Management performance of each selected sample is first tested with the
help of following ratios based on Cash flow:
1. Cash Ratio
2. Cash Return on Assets Ratio
3. Cash Profit Ratio
4. Cash Flow Margin Ratio
5. Cash Turnover
6. Cash Flow Liquidity Ratio
7. Cash Flow per Share
Above ratios are based on cash flow and average of opening and closing cash
and cash equivalents. Cash flow can be obtained from the cash flow statement. The
advantage of cash flow statement is that it provides information that enables users to
evaluate the change in the net assets, its financial structure (like liquidity and
solvency) and its ability to affect the amounts and timing of cash flow in order to
change the circumstances and opportunities. Sometimes due to accrual basis of
accounting a company may have satisfactory net income but one and only cash flow
statement can tell us how many cash is generated from this sales and other operation.
If most of the sales are on credit then it means a risk is associated with this. So any
decision based on only income statement can sometimes be overestimated or
underestimated. If cash flow information is useful but unused, the logical conclusion
is that the analysts are not analyzing available data properly. While there is no general
consensus on appropriate cash flow ratios, this study will explore the relative utility of
newly derived cash flow ratios in financial analysis and will determine if the potential
exists to predict financial failure.
An examination was made of the usefulness of the cash flow statement and a
brief review was given of the importance of cash flow ratios for financial analysis.
The main focus of the cash flow statement is to determine whether an entity can
generate positive cash flows from its normal operations. However, this does not
provide a full assessment of the liquidity and viability of an entity. The cash flow
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Further, as cash being a part of working capital, each sample is tested through
Working Capital Turnover Ratio, Current Ratio and Quick Ratio with its graphical
representation. Further, one of the most important financial statements, i.e. Cash Flow
Statement has been analysed and tested of each of the sample. Further researcher has
tried to establish a relationship between availability of cash and its impact on the
profitability. And in last in order to check the cash conversion ability of the samples,
cash conversion cycle was analysed and tested.
Chapter – 1
Chapter – 2
This chapter deals with an overview of the world automobile industry and
Indian automobile industry. This chapter includes history of the world automobile
3
Barua, S., Saha A. K., Traditional Ratios vs. Cash Flow based Ratios: Which One is Better
Performance Indicator? Advances in Economics and Business 3(6), 2015, pp :232-251.
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Chapter – 3
This chapter deals with the information regarding the chosen sample. This
chapter gives a brief profile of all the sampled companies, collected and compiled
from the annual reports and official websites of the companies.
Chapter – 4
This chapter deals with the size of the cash maintained by the companies as a
percentage of total assets, current assets and sales. It is very important to maintain a
certain level of cash. Hypotheses were developed accordingly and were further tested
through One-way ANOVA test with the help of the SPSS. If companies are found to
be having significant differences, the pair of means creating the difference will be
found out using multiple comparison analysis applying Posthoc using Tukey’s HSD.
Chapter – 5
This chapter deals with the analysis of cash management performance with the
help of the ratio analysis. Cash management is a wider term and concept. But when it
comes to financial point of view, certain ratios related liquidity, profitability, turnover
etc. based on the cash flows can judge the quality of the cash management of the
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company. Comparison will be done between the companies with the help of the mean.
Hypotheses are developed accordingly and are further tested through One-way
ANOVA test with the help of the SPSS. If companies are found to be having
significant differences, the pair of means creating the difference is found out using
multiple comparison analysis applying Posthoc using Tukey’s HSD.
Chapter – 6
This chapter deals with analysing the working capital management of the
selected samples during the research period. It is very important to analyse the
working capital management as cash is an important portion of working capital. Here
also performances of companies are compared with the help of the mean. Hypotheses
are developed accordingly and are further tested through One-way ANOVA test with
the help of the SPSS. If companies are found to be having significant differences, the
pair of means creating the difference is found out using multiple comparison analysis
applying Posthoc using Tukey’s HSD.
Chapter – 7
This chapter deals with analysing the cash flow statement of the selected
samples during the research period. Cash flow being the most important financial
factor is analysed in this chapter. Cash flow statement is divided into three parts vis.
Cash flow from operating activities, cash flow from investing activities and cash flow
from financing activities. Further, Net cash flow from all the three activities was
analyzed. Performances of the companies are compared with the help of the mean.
Hypotheses are developed accordingly and are further tested through One-way
ANOVA test with the help of the SPSS. If companies are found to be having
significant differences, the pair of means creating the difference is found out using
multiple comparison analysis applying Posthoc using Tukey’s HSD.
Chapter – 8
In this chapter, researcher has tried to find out whether there is any
relationship between availability of the cash and profitability performance or not.
Hypothesis is developed accordingly and tested through linear correlation. Here,
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industrial average cash balance and industrial average profit is taken into
consideration.
Chapter – 9
This chapter deals with the analysis of the cash conversion cycle of all the
selected samples. Cash conversion cycle is one of the liquidity metric. Cash
conversion cycle expresses the number of days that a company uses to sell inventory,
collect receivables and pay its accounts payable. The cash conversion cycle measures
the number of days a company's cash is tied up in the production and sales process of
its operations and the benefit it gets from payment terms from its creditors. The
shorter this cycle, the more liquid the company's working capital position is.
Hypotheses are developed accordingly and are further tested through One-way
ANOVA test with the help of the SPSS. If companies are found to be having
significant differences, the pair of means creating the difference is found out using
multiple comparison analysis applying Posthoc using Tukey’s HSD.
Chapter – 10
This chapter is about performance evaluation of the selected samples and the
overall industry. The sampled units are ranked by Multiple Comparison applying post
hoc tests using Tukey’s HSD. Further with the help of the correlation matrix
relationship has been found out between various factors related to cash management.
Chapter – 11
This chapter deals with summary, findings and suggestions made based on the
observations during the research study.
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2. It is also necessary to find out some important factor which effect internal
decision of industry. Also, cash management of top performing companies are
taken into consideration, so a certain kind of ideal behavioral pattern is found
out which will be useful for the other units of the industry. So research will be
useful to automobile industry itself.
4. The thesis will be a guiding path for the analysis of the study of the units
which are not undertaken for this research.
5. The study has helped improving the researcher himself to further enhance his
own research abilities.
1. The study will be based on secondary data taken from published annual report
and website. Secondary data collected for the research study is collected from
the annual reports, websites and various published reports and as such finding
will depend entirely on the accuracy of such data.
2. Apart from the tools and techniques used by the researcher, there are still more
tools and techniques available.
3. The present study is based on ratio analysis and it has its own limitation that
applies to this study also.
4. Financial statements are normally prepared on the concept of historical cost.
They do not reflect values in terms of current cost. Thus, financial analysis on
such financial statements or accounting figures would not portray the effects
of price level changing over the period.
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5. Cash Balance is taken as an average of opening and closing cash and cash
equivalents, whereas other variables are total of all the transactions during the
year.
6. The individual effort will be limited so it is also limitation of the study.
7. Personal view may be different from others.
8. The study is done on few samples of the Industry. Analysis of same might not
apply to the other units of the Industry.
The future scope of the study will be wide in this area of study.
This study includes few companies of the industry; however, other units can
be considered reviewing the performance of industry. The cash management
performance of the companies has been analyzed from various areas, but remaining
aspect of these units such as profitability, social responsibility, human resources
management, costing methods, market policies, dividend policies and leverage etc.
can be studied in future. There are great scopes for further research.
This study is limited for five year period i.e. from 2008-09 to 2012-13. So
study could be conducted with the remaining of the period too. This study is based on
secondary data. But, the same aspect could also be analysed on the primary database.
In this study, comparative analysis has been made with certain tool and
hypothesis. Other tools and techniques could also be applied for analysis to derive
more meaningful conclusion. So there is great-scope in various aspects in different
area with variation in aspect of data. The study will be useful for future research as an
empirical literature review.
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References:
Bajkowski, J., A Look at the Corporate Cash Flow Statement, AAII Journal,
1999, pp. 26-29.
Barua, S., Saha A. K., Traditional Ratios vs. Cash Flow based Ratios: Which
One is Better Performance Indicator? Advances in Economics and Business
3(6), 2015, pp :232-251.
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Kirkham, R., Liquidity Analysis using Cash Flow Ratios and Traditional
Ratios: The Telecommunications Sector in Australia, Journal of New Business
Ideas and Trends, Volume 10, Issue 1(2012), pp. 1-13.
Kwok, H., and Mun, T., (2002) A study on “The effects of cash flow statement
on Lenders’ decisions”.
Popat, P. H., (2011), A study on Working Capital Management and its Impact
on Profitability of Selected Fertilizer Units of Gujarat State.
Reddy, S.G., Reddy S.C. and Reddy M. P., A case Study of Andhra Pradesh
Paper Industry.
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Websites:
[Link] [Link]
[Link] [Link]
[Link] [Link]
[Link]
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