Security Analysis

Valuation of Money Markets

Instruments
Money Markets

 …to facilitate the transfer of short-term funds

from individuals, corporation and
governments
 …to maintain liquidity
Money Markets Securities

 …debt securities with maturity of one year or

less
 …issued in primary market to obtain short
term financing
 …liquidity provides by secondary market
 commonly purchase by households,
corporations and government agencies
Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition
Money Market Securities

 T-Bills
 Commercial paper
 Negotiable certificates of deposit
 Repurchase agreements
 Federal funds
 Banker’s acceptance
Treasury Bills (T-Bills)
 Issued to meet the short-term needs of government
 Typical
 4-week, 13-week, 26-week maturities on a weekly basis

 Periodically issued T-Bills

 Cash management bills

 The par value (face value) was historically a minimum of

$10.000, but now $1.000 and its multiples
 No pay any interest issue with dicount from par value
 Gain difference between par value and money paid

 Backed by federal government

 Low default (credit) risk

 High level of liquidity

 Secondary market and government security dealers
Treasury Bills (T-Bills)

 Investors in T-Bills
 Depository institutions
 Retain portfolio
 Liquidity
 Individuals
 Liquidity
 Money market funds
 Corporation
 Liquidity
Treasury Bills (T-Bills)

 Pricing T-Bills
 Not pay interest
 Priced at discount from their par value
 Price that investor will pay depends on investor‘s
required rate of return
 Price = present value of the future cash flows to
be received
 Present value of par value (face value)
Pricing T-Bills (example)

Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition

Treasury Bills (T-Bills)

 Treasury Bill Auctions

 The primary market with T-Bills is organized as an
auction
 Competitively or noncompetitively (max. $5 million per
auction)
 Individuals online bids [Link]
 Financial institutions online by Treasury
Automated Auction Processing System
TAAOSLink
 Account with T-Bills
 Electronic maintenance of T-Bills
Competetive Bidding

 Treasury bill auction (fill bids in amount

determined by Treasury borrowing needs)
 Bid process used to sell T-bills
 Bids submitted to Federal Reserve banks by the
deadline
 Bid process
 Accepts highest bids
 Accepts bids until Treasury needs generated
Noncompetetive Bidding

Treasury bill auction—noncompetitive bids

($5 million limit)
 May be used to make sure bid is accepted
 Price is the weighted average of the accepted competitive
bids
 Investors do not know the price in advance so they submit
check for full par value
 After the auction, investor receives check from the
Treasury covering the difference between par and the
actual price
Treasury Bills (T-Bills)

 Estimating the Yield

 Difference between the selling price and the
purchase price
 Estimating the T-bills discount
 The percent discount of the purchase price from
par value
 For a newly issued T-Bills that will be held till
maturity
 T-Bill yield > T-Bill discount
Commercial paper

 Short-term debt instrument

 20 and 45 days
 1 day or 270 days (SEC, otherwise registered)
 Alternative to bank loan
 Dealer placed vs. directly placed
 Used only by well-known and creditworthy firms
 Unsecured
 Minimum denominations of $100,000
 Typical denomination are in multiples of $1 million
 Not a secondary market or very limited
 Sometime it is possible to sell the paper back to the dealer
 In most cases hold till maturity
Commercial paper

 Ratings
 Credit or default risk
 Indicator of a the potential risk of default
 Money market funds – top or second tire (5 % of
assets) rating
 Junk commercial papers low or no rating
 Credit risk during the Credit Crisis
 Historically the percentage of issues that have
defaulted is very low
Commercial paper

 Placement
 Directly
 Dealers
 Transaction cost at 1/8 to 1 percentage of FV
 Backing Commercial Paper
 Backup lines of credit
 Bank line used if company loses credit rating
 Bank lends to pay off commercial paper
 Bank charges fees for guaranteed line of credit
Commercial paper

 Estimating of Yield
 Do not pay interest
 Priced at a discount
 Yield slightly higher than the yield on T-Bills with
same maturity
 Credit risk
 Less liquid
 The nominal return
 Difference between the price paid and the par value
Rating grades
Negotiable Certificates of Deposit (NCDs)

 Issued by large commercial banks or depository

institutions
 Minimum denomination of $100,000 but $1 million
more common
 Purchased by nonfinancial corporations or money
market funds
 Maturity
 Two week to one year
 Secondary markets supported by dealers in security
Negotiable Certificates of Deposit (NCDs)

 Placement
 Direct placement
 Use a correspondent institution specializing in placement
 Sell to securities dealers who resell
 Sell direct to investors at a higher price
 Premium
 Rate above T-bill rate to compensate for lower liquidity and
safety
 Yield
 Return in the form of interest and difference between the
price at which is redeemed (or sold in the secondary
market) and the purchase price
Repurchase Agreements (Repos)

 Sell a security with the agreement to repurchase it at

a specified date and price
 Loan backed by securities
 Government securities, commercial papers
 Borrower defaults, lender has security
 Maturity
 From 1day to 15 days or 1, 3, 6 months
 Reverse repo name for transaction from lender
 Negotiated over telecommunications network
 Dealers and brokers used or direct placement
 No secondary market
Repurchase Agreements (Repos)

 Estimating the Yield

 Difference between initial selling price and the
agreed-on repurchase price, annualized with a
360-days year
Federal Funds

 Interbank lending and borrowing

 Federal funds rate usually slightly higher than T-bill
rate
 Credit risk
 Fed district bank debits and credits accounts for
purchase (borrowing) and sale (lending)
 Federal funds brokers may match up buyers and
sellers using telecommunications network
 Usually $5 million or more
Banker‘s Acceptance
 A bank takes responsibility for a future payment
 International trade transactions

 Exporters send goods to a foreign destination and want payment

assurance before sending
 Bank acts as a guarantor

 Bank stamps a time draft from the importer ACCEPTED and

obligates the bank to make good on the payment at a specific
time
 The importer will pay the bank what is owed to the exporter along
with a fee to the bank for guaranteeing the payment
 Maturity
 From 20 to 270 days

 Active secondary market

Banker‘s Acceptance

 Exporter can hold until the date or sell before

maturity
 If sold to get the cash before maturity, price
received is a discount from draft’s total
 Return is based on calculations for other
discount securities
 Similar to the commercial paper example
 Importer Exporter
5 Shipment of Goods

L/C (Letter of Credit) Application

Shipping Documents & Time Draft

L/C Notification
2
4 6

3 L/C

American Bank Japanese Bank

(Importer’s Bank) 7 Shipping Documents & Time Draft (Exporter’s Bank)
Draft Accepted (B/A Created)

Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition

Institutional Use of Money Markets

 Participants
 Commercial banks
 Finance, industrial, and service companies
 Federal and state governments
 Money market mutual funds
 All other financial institutions (investing)
 Short-term investing for income and liquidity
 Short-term financing for short and permanent needs
 Large transaction size and telecommunication
network
Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition
Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition
Valuation of Money Markets Securities

 Present value of future cash flows at maturity

(zero coupon)
 Value (price) inversely related to discount
rate or yield
 Money market security prices more stable
than longer term bonds
 Yields = risk-free rate + default risk premium
Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition
Interest Rate Risk

 Risk Premium among Money Market Securities

 T-Bills slightly lower yields than the other securities
 Others offer compensation for credit risk
 If short-term interest rates increase, the required
rate of return on money market securities will
increase
 Prices of money market securities will decrease
 Not so sensitive as bonds
 Shorter term of maturity
Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition
Globalization of Money Markets

 Money market rates vary by country

 Segmented markets
 Tax differences
 Estimated exchange rates
 Government barriers to capital flows
 Deregulation Improves Financial Integration
 Capital Flows To Highest Rate of Return
Globalization of Money Markets

 Money market rates vary by country

 Segmented markets
 Tax differences
 Estimated exchange rates
 Government barriers to capital flows
 Deregulation Improves Financial Integration
 Capital Flows To Highest Rate of Return

Source: Madura, J.: Financial Markets and Institutions, 9th Edition

Globalization of Money Markets

 Eurodollar deposits and Euronotes

 Dollar deposits in banks outside the U.S.
 Increased because of international trade growth
and U.S. trade deficits over time
 No reserve requirements at banks outside U.S.
 Eurodollar Loans
 Channel funds to other multinationals that need
short-term financing
 Euro-commercial paper
International Interbank Market

 The rate for a loan from bank to another

LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate)
 Performance of Foreign Money Market
Securities
 Effective yield
 Yield adjusted for the exchange rate
 1. yield earned on the money market security in the foreign
currency
 2. the exchange rate effect
Globalization of Money Markets

 Performance of international securities

 Yield for an international investment
Yf SPf – PPf
=
PPf
Yf = Foreign investment’s yield
SPf = Investment’s foreign currency selling price
PPf = Investment’s foreign currency purchase
Globalization of Money Markets

 The exchange rate effect (%ΔS) measures

the percentage change in the spot during the
investment period
Ye  (1  Y f )  (1  %S )  1
 % Δ S measures the expected percent change in
the currency
 Currency appreciated, % Δ S is positive and adds to net
yield
 Currency depreciated, % Δ S is negative and reduces
net yield
Summary

 Surplus units channel investments to

securities issued by deficit units
 Debt securities markets
 Money Market
 Capital Market
 Money market securities
 Short-term
 High quality
 Very good liquidity