Annual Planning and
Annual Planning and
VOLUME
Restricted
SR.12.10221
Restricted SR.12.10221
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Annual Planning and Budgeting
Contents
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................................. 3
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Annual Planning and Budgeting
Introduction
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25
OP
LE
24 5
05. Performance Management 19. Overall Equipment Condition
23
T INTEGR
6 06. Continuous Improvement 20. Total Cost of Ownership
SE
22 07. Communication 21. Unscheduled Deferment, ORIP and RCA
ITY
7
AS
Operational
Excellence
21 8 08. Annual Planning and Budgeting 22. Hydrocarbon Prod. Inform. Mgnt
AN E
D H SS
20 9 09. Integrated Activity Planning 23. Programming
19 10 10. Work Preparation, Scheduling and Execution 24. Field Operations (Operating Integrity)
SS
CE
A
N 16 13
T 15 14
13. Management of Change 27. Well, Reservoir and Facility Management
14. Category and Contract Management 28. Chemicals Management
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Annual Planning and Budgeting
The aim of annual planning and budgeting is to ensure that ■ the annual budget book regrets listing of any activities that
resources are applied in the most efficient manner to ensure cannot be executed is reviewed and authorised by the
that short and medium-term organisational objectives for Asset technical authorities and relevant mitigation documented
Integrity, production, and cost are met. ■ costs are tracked on a daily, weekly and monthly basis.
KEY MEASURES
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Annual Planning and Budgeting
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ANNUAL PLANNING Whilst the Asset Reference Plan looks at the business over the
The objective to ‘optimise short-term cash flow without whole life cycle, the Annual Business Plan sets out an asset’s
compromising the long-term future of the company’, requires the production over the next two years (one year fixed and one
integration of many processes within the corporate business rolling) and should define and manage its direct costs. The
planning cycle. In order to perform effectively within this planning process involves screening and prioritising all
framework, personnel must have a clear understanding of production, core and incremental activities and field resources,
these processes and must be aware of the importance of these e.g. flotels and personnel.
processes, their role in and contribution to them, and the
overall objectives. The objective of screening and prioritising activities is for the
Regional Vice-President Production, the asset managers and the
Business planning functional heads to be able to compare the added value of all
A Business Plan is produced annually and contains the the activities in their area of responsibility. They can then be
programmes of functions’ Opex, Capex, Expex and Abex confident that the activities under their control are optimised.
activities and the associated derivatives of production and Any regrets and deferrals should be captured and approved by
capacity. The asset must have valid planning premises for the the Asset Manager and the Production Director. They should
business environment, which are used for annual planning. For be quantified at least in the following categories: Asset Integrity
example, inflation rate, contract rate pressures, production (Process Safety), revenue protection and value enhancement.
demand. To have confidence in the plan, it needs to be
supported by an MT IAP, which in turn needs to be supported The designated planning personnel (planners and schedulers)
by the functions’ two-year rolling plans and the ARP. The timing provide an enabling service for management and safeguard
of the activities in these plans will determine the cost and the planning process. They should play a key role in the
phasing (budgets) and the base and build up elements of successful coordination and optimisation of plans, both
production forecasts. These plans should also include any offshore and onshore by contributing their experience.
improvements that have been signed off by asset leadership
as covered in Blade 1 - Leadership and Strategic Planning. The Annual Business Plan should be issued yearly and
reviewed at least quarterly. Progress against the plan should
Application of this process provides assurance that the be regularly communicated to all Upstream Production
execution timings of functions’ activities, and hence their personnel though the use of a variety of communication
cost phasings, are viable and that the associated impact on channels including notice boards, team meetings, e-bulletins
production forecasts are consistent and have been taken and individual briefings and it should form the basis of the
into account. regular Asset Team meetings throughout the year.
Define
and rank
Develop
and plan
Prepare
work
High level, Low level,
Execute
conceptual fully defined
scope and scope and
timing timing
Business priorities
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Annual Planning and Budgeting
The Functions’ Planning and Delivery Process ACTIVITY BASED COST MODELLING
Functional plans form the backbone of the Annual Business Activity Based Cost Modelling (ABCM) is a structured
Plan. All functions must hold rolling two-year plans derived approach using the activities performed on an asset as a basis
from their long-term plans such as the Maintenance Reference for building up its costs. It is a bottom up approach that starts
Plan. They must be used to test future activities and for the with defining activities, identifying resources to execute each
preparation of asset integrated activity plans. The rolling activity and then determining the associated cost. Activities are
two-year plan shall reflect the agreed activity execution defined at different levels of the asset hierarchy – the more
windows taking account of business and asset priorities and activities that are defined at lower levels, then the more
overall resource constraints and should form the basis of the accurate the cost model. In Shell Upstream, the OPE$T
function’s submission to the Business Plan and shall be updated application (the OPE$T application of IHS Energy) has been
at least quarterly. mandated for use in creating ABCM for greenfield assets and
specified as a Minimum Requirement for brownfield assets.
The specific steps of the functions’ planning and delivery
process are: Key steps for ABCM are described below.
■ register and screen
■ define and rank Gather data
■ prepare work The objective of the activities in this section is to collect the
■ execute. asset, activity and resource cost data. It is important that this
dataset is based on the latest information available for the
These are shown in Figure 1 along with their links to the IAP resource quantities and rates for undertaking the activities. The
process. Integration takes place within the context of the dataset collected at the end of this section is considered to be
individual functions’ planning and delivery process. Throughout the unvalidated raw data.
these steps, the functions must plan their work effectively at the
high level in the long-term plans through to the lowest detail Analyse and validate data
required for execution, and provide this as input to the ARP The objective of the activities in this section is to analyse the
update cycle and the medium-term, short-term and very dataset and verify whether the data is good enough to be
short-term IAPs. used. After analysis, it should be validated for use under the
new context of the project.
Project and integrated services contractor plans
Activity plans prepared outside the assets by projects or Create model and forecast
contractors, that directly affect the preparation of the business The objective of the activities in this section is to create the
plan and integrated activity plans, must be controlled at the model and prepare the Opex forecast in order to provide input
appropriate level by the relevant function. Their format, the types to the economics and commercial processes if applicable.
of data they contain and how they will be integrated into the IAP
must be agreed up front and these plans must be appropriately Update, validate and release forecast
transferred into the integrated planning application. The objective of the activities in this section is to validate the
model assumptions and to peer review the dataset. After
Functions’ rolling two-year plan reviewing the model, it should be updated and released. Full
Each function expands the first two years of its long-term plan details of this process can be found in the Operating
with additional detail as the work scopes mature and more Expenditure Estimating Process Guide - EP 2008-9014.
detailed requirements are identified.
BUDGETING
The rolling plan, which should be updated quarterly as a The budget owner is usually the asset holder (or delegate) and
minimum, enables the function to plan and allocate its is the leader for budget development and approvals for the
resources, establish execution timing and duration as well as operating budget. In the case of Asset Integrity-related budgets
underpinning the first year of the business plan submission and and spend, it is a recognised ‘best practice’ that the corporate
functions’ budget. Asset Integrity Manager is accountable for ensuring sufficient
funds are budgeted on Asset Integrity related activities. The
It also enables the asset to confirm the agreed windows for budget coordinator is nominated by the budget owner to
these activities through optimising the MT IAP, e.g. aligning represent the asset throughout the budget process and the
production impacting events, minimising the number of coordinator liaises with the stakeholders and should prepare
production outages (shutdowns) and their durations. the budget documentation for the asset.
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The budget stakeholders are those parties who have The process, as shown in Figure 2 can take any time from 20
ownership and accountability for a particular cost area of the weeks to less than 4 weeks to complete and depends largely
budget. The stakeholders could be direct asset staff working in on the maturity of the process, corporate timetable and
the field or office, support staff or service providers. Service urgency. Normally, the process should start around April and
providers could be in direct support such as functional be ready for corporate submission by July, with SAP uploads of
organisations, or services shared by a number of assets such final numbers around November after approvals are complete.
as logistics, etc. Normally the key spend contributors such as The milestone plan, shown in Figure 3, should be used as a
the Maintenance and Integrity team leaders, Production team guide to when activities should be complete and updated in
coordinators, Wells, Logistics and Materials, and Engineering line with corporate requirements.
team leads would be engaged throughout the process. If there
is large capital engineering expenditure planned in the The cost categories used are the upstream benchmarking cost
forthcoming budget period, Engineering will be a key categories derived from the UP Basic Building Block website.
contributor to the Opex budget process. Support services, such Direct costs are those costs such as direct field expenses,
as catering, hotel management, materials and logistics may be materials, tools, etc. Indirect costs are those costs such as
equally apportioned based on Opex and/or Capex activities. direct work support, field supervision, field support staff,
overheads, etc.
The operating company corporate timetable normally dictates
the timeline for the budget preparation at the asset and Prior to the budget commencing, it is important that the
functional level. The budget coordinator prepares the timetable budget stakeholders have an understanding of the asset and its
and milestones for the asset based on the corporate timetable. associated costs. This information can be obtained from data
Apply
Develop Prepare Review and Carry out
strategic cost
budget detailed approve post-budget
leadership
strategy budget budget activities
process
Year end
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Annual Planning and Budgeting
that has already been published in previous submissions and The processing of actual versus budget information is key to the
this will reduce the time taken to prepare the detailed budget interactive development of the organisation’s forecasting
and improve the integrity of the output. capabilities. A detailed analysis of each line item needs to be
Each stakeholder should prepare high-level narrative carried out to agree whether there needs to be any ongoing
assumptions for each respective cost area prior to the revision to the original approved annual budget. As a standard, it
stakeholders meeting containing: is suggested that a monthly detailed business performance review
■ previous year actual versus forecast is carried out that will lead to quarterly revisions to the annual
■ current year actual versus forecast (current period) budget. These revisions have the effect of removing exceptional
■ key assumptions for forthcoming year and any major variances that may occur on a month by month basis.
additional activities.
Ideally, latest estimates should be updated automatically from
Stakeholder meetings are conducted throughout the the IAP to reflect actual activity phasing. This is done prior to
preparation process on at least a bi-weekly basis. The output budget review meetings. Budget reviews should be against
of the stakeholder meeting is an agreed milestone plan with latest estimates as well as the budget.
stakeholders’ responsibilities and accountabilities known and
understood. Actions and action parties should be documented The performance of the asset against the budget should be
and recorded with action compliance measured at communicated to all managers and supervisors, who are then
future meetings. required to pass this information on to all employees in the
scheduled monthly meetings.
Any budgeted and scheduled activity on a safety critical
element that requires to be deferred to the next budgeting During the monthly and quarterly Business Performance Review
period due to inadequate or insufficient funds, should be (BPR) sessions, every asset/function reviews its Actuals costs
clearly documented as a ‘regret’ and managed through the versus Business Plan and latest estimates. Based on the
Management of Change (MoC) process. A regret may also outcome of the discussions with the asset and function leads
be caused by operational reasons (e.g. shutdown timing, on the various Organisational or asset levels, corrective actions
access, etc.), resource constraints or material availability (long are taken, if needed.
lead items, etc.). The concept of managing regrets
appropriately and transparently is vitally important to ensure Rolling up from the lowest level of accountability, costs are
that a ‘bow wave’ of required work is not deferred until eventually reported at VP level with the clear benefits of:
sometime in the future. This can lead to a degradation of Asset ■ consistency
Integrity over time and at some point in the future, more money ■ clear accountabilities
will have to be spent to recover the Asset Integrity position by ■ same numbers in the same formats.
carrying out remedial works.
Daily cost tracking
One of the most important tools to enable a business to The Daily Cost Tracker (DCT) tool is available to all Regions/
improve forecasting is the setting up of a regular review of OUs on SAP Blueprint and is part of a larger suite of UP Cost
what was expected against what actually happened. The Reporting solutions which facilitate budget holder cost
implementation of a formal, visible and measurable budget reporting on a weekly, monthly or quarterly basis. It enables a
process is key to developing a cost conscious and responsible very detailed cost drill down, for example, on daily man-hours
culture. Once the annual budget is approved, there needs to and materials per maintenance job done by contractors. This
be an agreed timetable of measurement on actual allows expenditure to be challenged, overspends corrected,
performance as follows. individuals and teams taking accountability for their costs at all
levels and challenging others who spend their money.
Actuals versus budget comparison - measure actual
performance and agree if future budgets need to be amended In theory, this is simple. Costs are reviewed on a regular basis,
in line with actual information now received. interventions made where necessary and everyone learns to
■ Variance analysis and/or analysis of deviations - these manage their costs more effectively over the long term. In
should be categorised and acted on accordingly (bear in reality, it requires the behaviours of discipline, rigour and
mind the process will expect to identify ‘errors’ in the original commitment to regularly review and manage costs. Success
budget that were the result of assumptions made in good requires a number of pre-requisites.
faith that did not actually translate into real events). ■ Finance hierarchies must be correctly set up in SAP ECR.
■ Forecast information - identify any and all changes in ■ Maintenance must have a robust process to create work
the current climate that were not apparent at the original orders and network orders for the purpose of reviewing and
budget compilation. monitoring their business. This ensures the right request for
■ Performance indicators - review performance against man-hours, materials and services, and cost estimate for the
expected KPIs and reported industry standards. work. Good quality data must be available in the CMMS.
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Use of the DCT provides a direct link between the BPRs and
latest estimates view and the day to day work order activity
level. Using a common tool set allows members of the asset
team with different budgetary responsibilities to view the same
cost data at different levels. Allowing budget holders to access
cost reports directly can the change the focus of costs
discussions from one of trying to understand what a specific
cost is to one of challenging why the money has been spent.
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