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Stock Options Pricing and Arbitrage Analysis

The document discusses the properties and pricing bounds of stock options, specifically focusing on call and put options. It outlines the upper and lower bounds for option prices, the implications of arbitrage restrictions, and the concept of put-call parity. Additionally, it explains the conditions under which American options may be exercised early and the effects of various variables on option pricing.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
20 views32 pages

Stock Options Pricing and Arbitrage Analysis

The document discusses the properties and pricing bounds of stock options, specifically focusing on call and put options. It outlines the upper and lower bounds for option prices, the implications of arbitrage restrictions, and the concept of put-call parity. Additionally, it explains the conditions under which American options may be exercised early and the effects of various variables on option pricing.

Uploaded by

xulu010
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

主讲教师

• 课程名称:期货与期权
• 宋斌 博士 副教授
–中央财经大学管理科学与工程学院投资系
–办公室:沙河校区4号楼308
Chapter 7

Property of Stock Options-Upper and


Lower bound of Option Prices
Methods-Arbitrage Restriction
• 1. Constructing Portfolios-Portfolio Comparison
• [Link] Arbitrage Analysis
The Upper Bound for a Call Option Price
-European Call and American Call
Call option price can never be worth more than the
stock price.
• Otherwise, arbitrage (riskless profit) will be possible.
• How? Ct>St?
The Upper Bound for a Call Option Price
-European Call and American Call
– Suppose you see a call option selling for ct= $65, and the underlying stock
is selling for St= $60.
– The Arbitrage: sell the call, and buy the stock:c-St=5 >0 (at time t)
• Worst case:ST≥K? The option is exercised and you pocket K-ST+ST
=K>0(at time T).
• Best case:ST<K? The stock sells for less than K at option expiration,
you keep 0+ST = ST>0
– Zero cash outlay today, no possibility of loss, and potential for gain.
The Upper Bound for a Call Option Price
-European Call and American Call
• Calls
– The upper bound is C < S
Lower Bound for European Call Option Prices (No Dividends)

– If there are no dividend payouts, the lower bound is


C > max [ 0, S - Ke -rT ]

C=S
C=S-PV(K)
C

0 PV(K) K S
Lower Bound for European Call Option Prices
(No Dividends)

• Consider the two portfolios


Portfolio A: One European Call option plus cash =
Ke –rT
Portfolio B: One Share
• For PF A at expiration, T
– If the cash is invested, it will grow to K at T
– If ST > K, then the option is exercised; PF A is worth ST
• We pay for the share with the cash and have a share worth ST
– If ST < K, then the option is worthless; PF A is worth K
– Hence PF A is worth max (ST , K)
Lower Bound for European Call Option Prices
(No Dividends)

• PF A is worth max (ST , K) at expiration


• PF B at expiration is worth ST
• At expiration, PF A has value at least as great as
PF B
• In the absence of arbitrage, this must also be true
today
• Hence c + Ke -rT  S0 or c  S0 –Ke -rT
• In addition, since the worst that can happen is that
the call will expire worthless, c  max ( S0 − Ke − rT , 0 )
Theoretical Implications of these Bounds
• Because the price of an in-the-money call must
exceed S-PV(K), in the money calls on non-
dividend paying stocks will always have some
time value before expiration.
• An American call on a non-dividend paying stock
will never be exercised before expiration. Why
exercise for S-K, when you can sell it for S-
PV(K) or more?
• The value of an American call on a non-
dividend paying stock is the same as the value
of a European call on the same stock, all else
equal.
When will an American call be
Exercised Early? The Logic
• Exercising an option early destroys its time value, so you will only
want to exercise early if the option has no time value.
• Exercising early also destroys the downside protection provided by
a call (i.e., if ST < K), and requires spending $K earlier (thereby
losing interest that can be earned on $K).
• So, the dividend that will be paid “tomorrow” must be sufficiently
great to compensate you for these “costs” of early exercise.
Arbitrage Restrictions on Call Prices
• Assume the stock pays no dividends.

• Upper bounds are


– American: C< S0
– European: c < S0
• Lower bounds are
– American: C > max (0, S-Ke -rT )
– European: c > max (0, S-Ke -rT )
Arbitrage Restrictions on Call Prices
• Although we can obtain the American call option’s weak lower
bound by arbitrage restriction, we still have C≥[Link] we
choose the strict lower bound
American: C > max (0, S-Ke -rT )
• From the analysis, we know the American call option (no dividend )
will never exercise early, we conclude that C=c.
The Upper Bound for a Put
Option Price

Put option price can never be worth more than the


strike price. P < K
• Otherwise, arbitrage will be possible. How P > K?
Suppose there is a put option with a strike price of K=$50
and this put is selling for P= $60.
The Upper Bound for a Put Option Price
• Suppose there is a put option with a strike price of K=$50 and this put is selling for
P= $60.
• The Arbitrage: Sell the put, and invest the $60 in the bank. (Note you have zero
cash outlay).+ Pt(sell the put option )-Pt(riskless lending)=0
– Worse case----K≥ST? Stock price goes to zero ST →0.
• You short put option payoff is ST–K, because you were the put writer).
• But, you have from the sale of the put (plus interest)
• Total payoff is: ST -K+Pt erT >0
– Best case--- K≤ST? Stock price is at least $50 at expiration.
• The put expires with zero value (and you are off the hook).
• You keep the entire $60, plus interest.
• Total payoff is: 0+Pt erT>0
The Upper Bound for a Put Option Price
for European Put only
• European put option price can never be worth more
than the strike price. P < Ke-rT
• Otherwise, arbitrage will be possible.
The Upper Bound for a Put Option Price
for European Put only
• How P > Ke-rT? Suppose there is a put option with a strike price of K and this
put is selling for P > Ke-rT.
• The Arbitrage: Sell the put, and invest the money in the bank. (Note you
have zero cash outlay). ).+ Pt(sell the put option )-Pt(riskless lending)=0
– Worse case----K≥ST? Stock price goes to zero ST →0.
• You short put option payoff is ST–K, because you were the put writer.
• But, you have from the sale of the put (plus interest)
• Total payoff is: ST -K+Pt erT >0 (Pt erT >K)
– Best case--- K≤ST? Stock price is at least $50 at expiration.
• The put expires with zero value (and you are off the hook).
• You keep the entire $60, plus interest.
• Total payoff is: 0+Pt erT >0
The Lower Bound for a Put Option Price
• Lower bounds are
– American: P > max (0, K-S)
– European: P > max (0, Ke-rT – S)
Lower Bound for European Put Option Prices
(No Dividends)

• Consider the two portfolios


Portfolio C: One European Put option plus
One Share
Portfolio D: Cash = Ke–rT
• For PF C at expiration T
– If ST < K, then the option is exercised; PF C is worth K
• We deliver the share and receive K
– If ST > K, then the option is worthless; PF C is worth ST
– Hence PF C is worth max (ST , K)
Lower Bound for European Put Option Prices
(No Dividends)

• PF C is worth max (ST , K) at expiration


• PF D at expiration is worth K
• At expiration, PF C has value at least as great as
PF D
• In the absence of arbitrage, this must also be
true today
• Hence p + S0  Ke-rT or p  Ke-rT – S0
• Again, since the worst that can happen is that
the put expires worthless, p  max ( Ke − S0 , 0 )
− rT
Put Pricing Bounds: The Diagram
P
P=K
A A

P = Ke − rT
E E

P = Ke−rT − S P=K-S

E A
PV(K) K
S

Pricing Boundaries for Puts on Non-Dividend Paying Stocks


AAA shows the American put boundaries.
EEE shows the European put boundaries
Arbitrage Restrictions on Put Prices
• Assume the stock pays no dividends.
• Upper bounds are
– American: P < K
– European: P < Ke-rT
• Lower bounds are
– American: P > max (0, K-S)
– European: P > max (0, Ke-rT – S)
• Thus, an American put cannot sell for less than its
intrinsic value, but a European put can! Thinking!
What will it mean?(from the intrinsic value and time
value)
Early Exercise of American Puts
• Once an American put is sufficiently in-
the-money, it will sell for its intrinsic value,
and it should then be exercised early.
• Exercising early will get you $K today,
rather than at expiration, and you can
immediately invest that money to earn
interest.
Put-Call Parity
• For European options on non-dividend
paying stocks, put-call parity is:
C – P = S – PV(K)

• For European options on stocks paying


known dividends, put-call parity is:
C – P = S – PV(Divs) – PV(K)
Put-Call Parity (No Dividends)
• Consider the two portfolios
Portfolio A: One European Call option plus cash = Ke–rT
Portfolio C: One European Put option plus One Share
• PF A at expiration, T
– If the cash is invested, it will grow to K at T
– If ST > K, then the option is exercised; PF A is worth ST
• We pay for the share with the cash and have a share worth
ST
– If ST < K, then the option is worthless; PF A is worth K
– Hence PF A is worth max (ST , K)
Put-Call Parity (No Dividends)
• PF A is worth max (ST , K) at expiration
• PF C at expiration, T
– If ST < K, then the option is exercised; PF C is worth K
• We deliver the share and receive K
– If ST > K, then the option is worthless; PF C is worth ST
– Hence PF C is worth max (ST , K)
• At expiration, PF A has value equal to PF C
• In the absence of arbitrage, this must also be true today
• Hence c + Ke -rT = p + S0
• This is known as Put-Call Parity
Proof of the Basic Put-Call Parity
Proposition: A Conversion
What if: C-P>S- Ke -rT?
Then: C-P-S+ Ke -rT > 0
At Expiration:
Today: ST<K ST>K
Sell call +C 0 -(ST-K)
Buy put -P +(K-ST) 0
Buy stock -S +ST +ST
Borrow + Ke -rT -K -K
>0 0 0
Therefore, if C-P>S- Ke -rT, an arbitrage is possible, because the
trader receives a cash inflow today, but does not have a cash
out-flow in the future.
Some Theoretical Implications
of Put-Call Parity
• Rearrange, the basic put-call parity proposition to be –C=-
S+PV(K)-P. This says that buying a call is like borrowing to
buy stock; i.e., it is like buying stock on margin. But in
addition, the call owner also owns a put, providing downside
protection.
• If r > 0, an at the money call is worth more than an at the
money put with the same K and T.
• Given S, r, and T, then C-P is known, regardless of the
bullishness or bearishness that may pervade the market.
• You can replicate the payoff from any position with the other
three securities (e.g. buying a put = selling stock, lending,
and buying a call).
Put-Call Parity & Synthetic Positions
• S = C-P+PV(K) Sell stock short = write call, buy put, &
borrow
• -S = -C+P-PV(K) Buy stock = buy call, write put & lend
• -P = S-C-PV(K) Buy put = sell stock short, buy call, & lend
• P = -S+C+PV(K) Write put = buy stock, write call, & borrow
• C = S+P-PV(K) Write call = sell stock short, write put, &
lend
• -C = -S-P+PV(K) Buy call = buy stock, buy put, & borrow
• PV(K) = S-C+P Riskless borrowing = sell stock short,
buy call, & write put
• -PV(K) = -S+C-P Riskless lending = buy stock, write call,
& buy put
Put-Call Parity

• PV(K) = S-C+P Riskless borrowing = sell stock short, buy


call, & write put
• -PV(K) = -S+C-P Riskless lending = buy stock, write
call, & buy put
• In the mid 1800s, New York financier Russell Sage began
creating synthetic loans using the principle of put-call parity
Notation

• c : European call • C : American Call option


option price price
• p : European put • P : American Put option
option price price
• S0 : Stock price today • ST :Stock price at option
• K : Strike price maturity
• T : Life of option • D : Present value of
• : Volatility of stock dividends during option’s
price life
• r : Risk-free rate for
maturity T with cont comp
Effect of Variables on Option
Pricing (Table 9.1, page 206)
Variable c p C P
S0 + – + –
K – +? – +
T

? + +
+ + + +
r + – + –
D – + – +

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