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A Modern Excess Profit Tax

Author

Listed:
  • Manon François
  • Carlos Oliveira
  • Bluebery Planterose
  • Gabriel Zucman

Abstract

IThis note presents a new way to tax excess profits. We propose to tax the rise in the stock market capitalization of companies that benefit from extraordinary circumstances, such as energy firms following the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Targeting the rise in stock market capitalization (which is easily observable) makes the tax much harder to avoid than standard excess profit taxes, and allows to capture rents irrespective of where multinational companies book their profits. We apply this proposal to energy companies that are headquartered or have sales in the European Union. We estimate that taxing the January 2022 to September 2022 valuation gains of energy firms at a rate of 33% would generate around €65 billion in revenue (0.3% of GDP) for the European Union. We discuss implementation practicalities and compare our proposals to other plans made to tax excess profits.

Suggested Citation

  • Manon François & Carlos Oliveira & Bluebery Planterose & Gabriel Zucman, 2022. "A Modern Excess Profit Tax," Notes 004, EU Tax Observatory.
    • Handle: RePEc:dbp:plnote:004
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Johannes Huber & Christian Scharrer, 2024. "The fiscal and intergenerational burdens of brakes and subsidies for energy prices," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(5), pages 1249-1273, October.
    3. Evgeniya Dubinina & Javier Garcia-Bernardo & Petr Janský, 2024. "The excess profits during COVID-19 and their tax revenue potential," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1001-1036, November.
    4. De Vito, Antonio & Pancotto, Livia & Perdichizzi, Salvatore & Reghezza, Alessio, 2023. "Don’t go on holiday in August! Market reaction to an unexpected windfall tax on banks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance

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