Skip to main content

Uk predictions & odds

·
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

49%

December 31

$11M Vol.

$131K Liq.

366

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

53%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$721K Liq.

42

Ends in 9 months

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

96%

No change

$446K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

80%

600+

$11.6K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

88%

300+

$8.7K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

60%

Reform

$7.5K Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

53%

1800+

$7.5K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

63%

Rowenna Davis

$18.0K Vol.

$53.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 21 days

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

44%

$1.7K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Precipitation in London in April?

Precipitation in London in April?

63%

<20mm

$8.7K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

72%

Labour

$1.2K Vol.

$44.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

8%

$250 Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$742K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

13

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

10%

$206K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

35

Ends in 9 months

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

62%

No change

$12.7K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

58%

500+

$127 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

6%

$2.4K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?

39%

0.6-0.9%

$22.7K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

34%

4.5%+

$3.5K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?

77%

Special Relationship

$526 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Uk.

Polymarket currently hosts 26 active markets for Uk that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 49% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Uk predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.