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Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

Market icon
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas

mai 26

mai 26

Ken Paxton 60%

John Cornyn 40%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Wesley Hunt <1%

Polymarket

$15,592,938 Vol.

Ken Paxton 60%

John Cornyn 40%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Wesley Hunt <1%

Polymarket

$15,592,938 Vol.

Ken Paxton vencerá as primárias republicanas do Texas em 2026? icon

Ken Paxton

$4,247,723 Vol.

60%

John Cornyn vencerá as primárias republicanas do Texas em 2026? icon

John Cornyn

$3,164,044 Vol.

40%

Dawn Buckingham vencerá as primárias republicanas do Texas em 2026? icon

Dawn Buckingham

$928,483 Vol.

<1%

Wesley Hunt vencerá as primárias republicanas do Texas em 2026? icon

Wesley Hunt

$1,798,964 Vol.

<1%

Beth Van Duyne vencerá as primárias republicanas do Texas de 2026? icon

Beth Van Duyne

$5,453,736 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holds a trader consensus edge at 60% over incumbent Senator John Cornyn's 39.5% in the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, 2026, following their advancement from the inconclusive March 3 primary where neither reached a 50% majority. Recent polls, including a Texas Public Opinion Research survey released April 17 showing Paxton ahead 48%-40% among likely GOP primary voters, have bolstered his position among the conservative base critical of Cornyn as a Washington establishment figure. Cornyn countered with superior first-quarter 2026 fundraising, outpacing Paxton four-to-one, while President Trump's pending endorsement decision adds uncertainty. Negligible support for Wesley Hunt, Dawn Buckingham, and Beth Van Duyne reflects their early primary elimination. Early voting has begun amid attack ads from Paxton's campaign highlighting Cornyn's long Senate tenure.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,592,938
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton holds a trader consensus edge at 60% over incumbent Senator John Cornyn's 39.5% in the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff set for May 26, 2026, following their advancement from the inconclusive March 3 primary where neither reached a 50% majority. Recent polls, including a Texas Public Opinion Research survey released April 17 showing Paxton ahead 48%-40% among likely GOP primary voters, have bolstered his position among the conservative base critical of Cornyn as a Washington establishment figure. Cornyn countered with superior first-quarter 2026 fundraising, outpacing Paxton four-to-one, while President Trump's pending endorsement decision adds uncertainty. Negligible support for Wesley Hunt, Dawn Buckingham, and Beth Van Duyne reflects their early primary elimination. Early voting has begun amid attack ads from Paxton's campaign highlighting Cornyn's long Senate tenure.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,592,938
Data de Término
26 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ken Paxton" at 60%, followed by "John Cornyn" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" has generated $15.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" is "Ken Paxton" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Cornyn" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.