President Donald Trump's constitutional term, following his January 20, 2025 inauguration for a second nonconsecutive stint, extends until January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health crises driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus on Polymarket just 11 days from resolution. Absent major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as verified medical emergencies invoking the 25th Amendment, snap congressional action amid GOP Senate control, or voluntary withdrawal—traders reflect skin-in-the-game certainty on continuity. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, indictments escalating to removal votes, or unforeseen incapacitation, though the compressed timeline and institutional barriers make these improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$9,237,705 Объем
$9,237,705 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
Да
$9,237,705 Объем
$9,237,705 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's constitutional term, following his January 20, 2025 inauguration for a second nonconsecutive stint, extends until January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health crises driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus on Polymarket just 11 days from resolution. Absent major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as verified medical emergencies invoking the 25th Amendment, snap congressional action amid GOP Senate control, or voluntary withdrawal—traders reflect skin-in-the-game certainty on continuity. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, indictments escalating to removal votes, or unforeseen incapacitation, though the compressed timeline and institutional barriers make these improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Объем
$9,237,705Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's constitutional term, following his January 20, 2025 inauguration for a second nonconsecutive stint, extends until January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health crises driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus on Polymarket just 11 days from resolution. Absent major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as verified medical emergencies invoking the 25th Amendment, snap congressional action amid GOP Senate control, or voluntary withdrawal—traders reflect skin-in-the-game certainty on continuity. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, indictments escalating to removal votes, or unforeseen incapacitation, though the compressed timeline and institutional barriers make these improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$9,237,705Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's constitutional term, following his January 20, 2025 inauguration for a second nonconsecutive stint, extends until January 20, 2029, with no active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or reported health crises driving the 99.4% "No" trader consensus on Polymarket just 11 days from resolution. Absent major catalysts in the past 30 days—such as verified medical emergencies invoking the 25th Amendment, snap congressional action amid GOP Senate control, or voluntary withdrawal—traders reflect skin-in-the-game certainty on continuity. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, indictments escalating to removal votes, or unforeseen incapacitation, though the compressed timeline and institutional barriers make these improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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