Trader consensus reflects a 71.5% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, anchored by more than two weeks of stable global operations on the AWS Health Dashboard, with no new "disrupted" severity incidents in the past 30 days. The early March outages in Middle East regions—Bahrain (ME-SOUTH-1) and UAE (ME-CENTRAL-1)—stemmed from physical infrastructure damage in multiple availability zones due to drone strikes amid regional conflict, impacting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB but contained without cascading globally; recovery updates ceased after March 3, signaling resolution. AWS's multi-region redundancy and 99.99% uptime track record bolster the "No" lead, though escalating geopolitics or rare configuration errors remain key risks ahead of the deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus reflects a 71.5% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, anchored by more than two weeks of stable global operations on the AWS Health Dashboard, with no new "disrupted" severity incidents in the past 30 days. The early March outages in Middle East regions—Bahrain (ME-SOUTH-1) and UAE (ME-CENTRAL-1)—stemmed from physical infrastructure damage in multiple availability zones due to drone strikes amid regional conflict, impacting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB but contained without cascading globally; recovery updates ceased after March 3, signaling resolution. AWS's multi-region redundancy and 99.99% uptime track record bolster the "No" lead, though escalating geopolitics or rare configuration errors remain key risks ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Hacim
$5,614Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus reflects a 71.5% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, anchored by more than two weeks of stable global operations on the AWS Health Dashboard, with no new "disrupted" severity incidents in the past 30 days. The early March outages in Middle East regions—Bahrain (ME-SOUTH-1) and UAE (ME-CENTRAL-1)—stemmed from physical infrastructure damage in multiple availability zones due to drone strikes amid regional conflict, impacting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB but contained without cascading globally; recovery updates ceased after March 3, signaling resolution. AWS's multi-region redundancy and 99.99% uptime track record bolster the "No" lead, though escalating geopolitics or rare configuration errors remain key risks ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Hacim
$5,614Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 71.5% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, anchored by more than two weeks of stable global operations on the AWS Health Dashboard, with no new "disrupted" severity incidents in the past 30 days. The early March outages in Middle East regions—Bahrain (ME-SOUTH-1) and UAE (ME-CENTRAL-1)—stemmed from physical infrastructure damage in multiple availability zones due to drone strikes amid regional conflict, impacting services like EC2, S3, and DynamoDB but contained without cascading globally; recovery updates ceased after March 3, signaling resolution. AWS's multi-region redundancy and 99.99% uptime track record bolster the "No" lead, though escalating geopolitics or rare configuration errors remain key risks ahead of the deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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